Downgrading "Causes and Consequences"

ALARM FOR THE INDIAN ECONOMY. Just a week before India overtook Japan in GDP in PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) and became the third largest economy after US and China. Before two years India was one of the fastest growing economy after China. India's GDP is growing at the rate of 9.1%. But, what happened to the current scenario. India's GDP growth reduced drastically and now it's growing at the rate of 6.1%. There are various factors are responsible for this like inflation, tight monetary policy etc.., 

Now, a new threat has come. The treat is from S&P (Standard & Poor). S&P is the credit rating agency in US. They warned India that they would downgrade the credit rating of India from STABLE to NEGATIVE (BBB-). This is the worst credit rating. This won't happen now. If India doesn't take any step to improve its growth by controlling the inflation and make certain changes in economic policies of India, after two years India will be in a great trouble. If we see the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) in February, it was forecasted to 6.1%. But, it was only 4.1%. Indian government should also have to take a look into it.

What will happen if S&P downgrade the India's credit rating? What are the causes and consequences? The first thing happens is it will create a cataclysm in FII (Foreign Institutional Investors). The foreign investors invested billions of dollars in Indian market. If this downgrading happens, the investors will pull back their money from the Indian market. Actually the downgrading indicates that the risk of India repaying the loan is high. This will create some sense of fear among the investors. This will further affect the Indian economy.

Suppose if we take US, every year they have allocated certain amount of money to invest in other countries through FII. If they allocated 25% of money to invest in South Asian countries, in India they will invest approximately around 4%. Because of this downgrading, this percentage will get reduced from 4% to 2% or 1%. This is only from US. Not only US investing in India. Other countries like China, Japan, and European nations are also investing in India. This creates a huge set back in infrastructure, technology, real estate and etc.., development in India.

Another major issue is the depreciation of India rupee against US dollar. Before two day it was around 52.17 rupees equivalent to 1$. If this downgrading happens, rupee will depreciate further. This will affect the importers of India. But, it is good for the exporters.

This downgrading will create a domino effect. Indian government has to take necessary actions to reduce the impact of the effect and boost the growth of the economy. Otherwise, it will create a chaos and it further suppresses the development of the Indian economy.